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Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
63' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Toluca U21 and Santos Laguna U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Toluca U21
15%
Draws
14%
Santos Laguna U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Toluca U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Toluca U21 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Laguna U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Toluca U21 Santos Laguna U21
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 17 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Santos Laguna U21
1:0
Jul 16, 2025 Liga MX U21
Santos Laguna U21 vs Toluca U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Toluca U21 85 / 100
Santos Laguna U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Toluca U21 Santos Laguna U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toluca U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Toluca U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Santos Laguna U21 conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Toluca U21 VS Santos Laguna U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Toluca U21

(Home)
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Juarez U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna U21

(Away)
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
22 Aug
Puebla U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 9 8 0 1 18:9 21
2 Toluca U21 7 7 0 0 14:4 19
3 Club Tijuana U21 8 5 0 3 14:10 17
4 Puebla U21 8 5 0 3 10:6 16
5 Guadalajara Chivas U21 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
6 Club America U21 9 5 0 4 14:13 15
7 Pachuca U21 9 3 0 6 10:13 13
8 Monterrey U21 7 4 0 3 13:7 12
9 Cruz Azul U21 8 5 0 3 16:12 11
10 Atletico San Luis U21 9 4 0 5 15:18 11
11 Necaxa U21 9 4 0 5 10:15 11
12 Atlas U21 8 3 0 5 11:9 10
13 Juarez U21 7 4 0 3 8:8 10
14 UNAM Pumas U21 8 3 0 5 8:10 10
15 Santos Laguna U21 8 3 0 5 7:12 10
16 Atlante U21 9 3 0 6 9:16 10
17 Tigres UANL U21 9 2 0 7 8:18 8
18 Queretaro U21 8 1 0 7 6:14 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)