Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Pereira A.
(Penalty)
33'
33'
Sub
Martinez K. In: Guatemala D.
Out: Martinez K.
46'
46'
Sub
Ramirez M. In: Erceg A.
Out: Ramirez M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Toluca W and Pachuca W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toluca W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pachuca W come out ahead of Toluca W on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Toluca W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 13%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Pachuca W
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
1:2
Mar 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
2:3
Oct 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Pachuca W
1:3
Mar 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Toluca W Compare
Top Goalscorer Le Sommer E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Pachuca W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Toluca W 75 / 100
Pachuca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Toluca W Pachuca W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toluca W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Toluca W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Pachuca W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Toluca W VS Pachuca W
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toluca W
(Home) 29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
24 Aug
Atlante W
1 : 2 Toluca W
18 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 1 Atlas W
11 Aug
Toluca W
2 : 0 Juarez W
03 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
1 : 4 Toluca W
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0 Club Leon W
18 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 1 Atlas W
11 Aug
Toluca W
2 : 0 Juarez W
08 May
Toluca W
1 : 7 Club America W
01 May
Toluca W
2 : 1 Tigres UANL W
Page 1 of 4
Pachuca W
(Away) 30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0 Pachuca W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas W
15 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1 UNAM Pumas W
08 Aug
Atlas W
1 : 1 Pachuca W
01 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0 Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0 Pachuca W
08 Aug
Atlas W
1 : 1 Pachuca W
01 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0 Pachuca W
23 May
Gotham FC W
0 : 3 Pachuca W
21 May
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Pachuca W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | 42 |
| 2 | Monterrey W | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | 40 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Pachuca W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | 36 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | 34 |
| 6 | Toluca W | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | 33 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | 28 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis W | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | 21 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC W | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | 9 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
