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Tomar vs GD Fontinhas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Rosas R.
84'
Graca G.
84'
Graca G.

AI Match Summary

GD Fontinhas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Fontinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tomar
20%
Draws
58%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Fontinhas lately — more wins on the board than Tomar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on GD Fontinhas taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tomar Clean Sheet 14%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomar GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Tomar
2:0
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Tomar vs GD Fontinhas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

GD Fontinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerejo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomar 10 / 100
GD Fontinhas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomar GD Fontinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tomar scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

GD Fontinhas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tomar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomar VS GD Fontinhas
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomar

(Home)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
Page 1 of 6

GD Fontinhas

(Away)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)