Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1975/1976 game between Tomar and Vitoria Guimaraes finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomar
15%
Draws
49%
Vitoria Guimaraes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomar haven't matched Vitoria Guimaraes's recent run of results.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tomar Clean Sheet 19%
Vitoria Guimaraes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomar Vitoria Guimaraes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 1976 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:0
Dec 28, 1975 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tomar
3:1
Mar 30, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
3:2
Dec 8, 1974 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Tomar
0:0
Apr 1, 1973 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomar 16 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomar Vitoria Guimaraes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria Guimaraes has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Vitoria Guimaraes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria Guimaraes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomar

(Home)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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Vitoria Guimaraes

(Away)
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes
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