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Stadium Background

Tomar vs Vitoria Setubal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomar in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tomar
15%
Draws
59%
Vitoria Setubal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Setubal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Setubal lately — more wins on the board than Tomar.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria Setubal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tomar Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomar Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 1976 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
2:2
Jan 4, 1976 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Setubal
1:0
Apr 13, 1975 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
2:1
Dec 15, 1974 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Setubal
1:0
Jan 28, 1973 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomar 10 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomar Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vitoria Setubal let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tomar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomar VS Vitoria Setubal
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomar

(Home)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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Vitoria Setubal

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
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