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Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Okoro C.
85' Event
Portoles A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Tomares UD and AD Ceuta B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tomares UD
39%
Draws
30%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 19%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B
0:2
Jan 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Tomares UD
3:0
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs AD Ceuta B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoro C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Portoles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 32 / 100
AD Ceuta B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD AD Ceuta B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta B let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tomares UD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tomares UD found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS AD Ceuta B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lucena34227569:2573
2Dos Hermanas341861069:3960
3Atletico Central341510936:2955
4Bollullos341411943:3553
5AD Ceuta B3414101038:3852
6Linense341313845:3252
7Cadiz B3414101050:3852
8Conil341571243:4452
9Cordoba B341281444:4444
10CD Utrera341281440:4744
11Pozoblanco3410131139:4443
12Chiclana3410131139:4543
13San Roque de Lepe3410131139:3943
14Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3410101436:4340
15Tomares UD341091534:4639
16Sevilla C341081634:4138
17Castilleja CF34691928:6227
18Coria C.F.34492124:5921