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Tomares UD vs Dos Hermanas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Tomares UD Logo

Tomares UD

2 - 1
FT
Dos Hermanas Logo

Dos Hermanas

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vargas D.
76' Event
Rufo J.
88' Event
Navarro Mateos I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tomares UD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tomares UD
30%
Draws
33%
Dos Hermanas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dos Hermanas lately — more wins on the board than Tomares UD.
  • Dos Hermanas are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 15%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD Dos Hermanas
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.17 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs Dos Hermanas
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs Tomares UD
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Rufo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro Mateos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dos Hermanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 11 / 100
Dos Hermanas 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD Dos Hermanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dos Hermanas conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tomares UD went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tomares UD found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS Dos Hermanas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomares UD

(Home)
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
04 Aug
Tomares UD
3 : 1
Betis B
10 May
Tomares UD
2 : 1
Cadiz B
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
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Dos Hermanas

(Away)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
Cadiz B
0 : 0
Dos Hermanas
09 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
0 : 9
Dos Hermanas
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0
CD Utrera
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)