Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomares UD vs La Palma CF

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vargas D.
33' Event
Moya A.
56' Event
Gordillo J.

AI Match Summary

Tomares UD in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomares UD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tomares UD
20%
Draws
23%
La Palma CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • La Palma CF haven't matched Tomares UD's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tomares UD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 68%
La Palma CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomares UD La Palma CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs La Palma CF
3:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs Tomares UD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomares UD Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gordillo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

La Palma CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomares UD 77 / 100
La Palma CF 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomares UD La Palma CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomares UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: La Palma CF conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Tomares UD found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tomares UD remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomares UD VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomares UD

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0
Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
04 Aug
Tomares UD
3 : 1
Betis B
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La Palma CF

(Away)
09 May
La Palma CF
1 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 May
Atletico Central
2 : 2
La Palma CF
01 May
Tomares UD
3 : 1
La Palma CF
27 Apr
La Palma CF
0 : 1
Puente Genil
13 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)