Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group VI

Blekitni Raciaz

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tomaszow Mazowiecki play Blekitni Raciaz in the III Liga - Group VI. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tomaszow Mazowiecki averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Blekitni Raciaz averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Tomaszow Mazowiecki won 2, Blekitni Raciaz won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2016 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Tomaszow Mazowiecki and 1.19 for Blekitni Raciaz. This points to a Tomaszow Mazowiecki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki

20%

Draws

34%

Blekitni Raciaz

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Tomaszow Mazowiecki picked up more points recently compared to Blekitni Raciaz.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%

Blekitni Raciaz Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	Blekitni Raciaz
Matches Played	44	30
Wins	23	14
Draws	8	7
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	2.41	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2016 III Liga - Group VI

Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Blekitni Raciaz

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

4:3

Oct 24, 2015 III Liga - Group VI

Blekitni Raciaz vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 45 / 100

Blekitni Raciaz 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomaszow Mazowiecki Blekitni Raciaz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tomaszow Mazowiecki or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tomaszow Mazowiecki attacking → ← attacking Blekitni Raciaz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 91% of their last 44 games.

Blekitni Raciaz let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Tomaszow Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Blekitni Raciaz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 49

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	34	21	5	8	62:25	68
2	Ursus Warszawa	34	19	8	7	56:26	65
3	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	34	18	11	5	53:24	65
4	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	19	8	7	79:37	65
5	Legia II	34	19	8	7	66:38	65
6	LKS Lodz	34	19	7	8	71:37	64
7	Pelikan	34	18	10	6	58:29	64
8	Swit Mazowiecki	34	17	12	5	61:27	63
9	Blekitni Raciaz	34	15	8	11	56:52	53
10	Warta Sieradz	34	12	7	15	43:46	43
11	Bron Radom	34	9	10	15	51:70	37
12	Warta Dzialoszyn	34	10	5	19	33:82	35
13	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	10	4	20	48:60	34
14	Oskar Przysucha	34	7	8	19	42:78	29
15	Energia Kozienice	34	6	9	19	41:64	27
16	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	6	9	19	36:60	27
17	Otwock	34	6	4	24	24:86	22
18	Ner Poddebice	34	4	9	21	31:70	21