Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Lidzbark Warmimski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
34'
34'
Pawlusinski M.
67'
67'
Kuzimski M.
75'
75'
Kuzimski M.
AI Match Summary
Lidzbark Warmimski in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lidzbark Warmimski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lidzbark Warmimski haven't matched Tomaszow Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Lidzbark Warmimski's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lidzbark Warmimski have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | Lidzbark Warmimski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Lidzbark Warmimski
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Lidzbark Warmimski
3:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Pawlusinski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzimski M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 22 / 100
Lidzbark Warmimski 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Lidzbark Warmimski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomaszow Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Lidzbark Warmimski let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Tomaszow Mazowiecki has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Lidzbark Warmimski
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Home) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
23 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 3 LKS Lodz II
14 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5 : 2 LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 4
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
23 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
4 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
07 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
