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Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
40%
Draws
29%
Star Starachowice
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomaszow Mazowiecki lately — more wins on the board than Star Starachowice.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomaszow Mazowiecki Star Starachowice
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Star Starachowice
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 31 / 100
Star Starachowice 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Star Starachowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tomaszow Mazowiecki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Star Starachowice conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

Away concern: Star Starachowice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Star Starachowice
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%