Sport Picks
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Kempski M.
80'
80'
Kempski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Tomaszow Mazowiecki and Swit Mazowiecki finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomaszow Mazowiecki carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Swit Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 12%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | Swit Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:2
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Kempski M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 22 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Swit Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomaszow Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Swit Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tomaszow Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tomaszow Mazowiecki VS Swit Mazowiecki
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Home) 26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
23 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 3 LKS Lodz II
14 Aug
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
5 : 2 LKS Lomza
24 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3 : 1 Spartakus Daleszyce
Page 1 of 4
Swit Mazowiecki
(Away) 25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
01 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
