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Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Abastoflor C.
Assist: Caicedo J.
45' Event
Beccera O.
(Penalty)
45'
Beccera O.

AI Match Summary

Tomayapo in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomayapo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tomayapo
15%
Draws
36%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomayapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomayapo lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tomayapo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 19%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Santa Cruz
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Tomayapo
1:5
Sep 14, 2024 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Tomayapo
1:2
Jul 17, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Tomayapo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomayapo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abastoflor C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomayapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Cruz conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tomayapo scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Santa Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0
Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz

(Away)
20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3
Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5
Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2
Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)