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Tombense vs Nacional MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tombense
6%
Draws
4%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tombense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tombense have won more games recently than Nacional MG.
  • Win probability leans Tombense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tombense Clean Sheet 17%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tombense Nacional MG
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2014 Mineiro
Nacional MG vs Tombense
1:0
Feb 23, 2013 Mineiro
Tombense vs Nacional MG
1:0
Mar 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Tombense
1:0
Feb 24, 2011 Mineiro 2
Tombense vs Nacional MG
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tombense 84 / 100
Nacional MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tombense Nacional MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional MG has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tombense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nacional MG lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tombense found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Tombense VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tombense

(Home)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
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Nacional MG

(Away)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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