Sport Picks
Match Events
48'
48'
Beltran C.
75'
75'
Beltran C.
90'
90'
Pumareta A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tarancon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Tomelloso.
- Model gives CD Tarancon a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 20%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomelloso | CD Tarancon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs CD Tarancon
2:2
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Tomelloso
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Tomelloso
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Jan 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Tomelloso
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomelloso Compare
Top Goalscorer Pumareta A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
CD Tarancon Compare
Top Goalscorer Beltran C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomelloso 12 / 100
CD Tarancon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomelloso CD Tarancon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CD Tarancon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Attacking prowess: Tomelloso scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Tomelloso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Tarancon
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomelloso
(Home) 12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0 Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
07 Apr
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Toledo
24 Mar
Tomelloso
0 : 3 Villarrubia
Page 1 of 3
CD Tarancon
(Away) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1 CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0 CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0 CD Tarancon
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 57:18 | 73 |
| 2 | Cazalegas | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 48:35 | 59 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 47:25 | 58 |
| 4 | Socuellamos | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 48:28 | 58 |
| 5 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 46:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 55 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 38:31 | 47 |
| 9 | Albacete B | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:49 | 46 |
| 10 | Azuqueca | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:46 | 41 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:36 | 41 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 28:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 27:38 | 39 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 35:47 | 39 |
| 15 | La Solana | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Torrijos | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:45 | 28 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24:55 | 26 |
| 18 | San Clemente | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 28:66 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
