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Stadium Background

Tomelloso vs Chozas de Canales

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chozas de Canales in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chozas de Canales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomelloso
44%
Draws
20%
Chozas de Canales
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomelloso have won more games recently than Chozas de Canales.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 20%
Chozas de Canales Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomelloso Chozas de Canales
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Chozas de Canales
2:3
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Chozas de Canales vs Tomelloso
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 36 / 100
Chozas de Canales 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomelloso Chozas de Canales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chozas de Canales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tomelloso scored in 59% of their last 37 outings.

Solid form: Tomelloso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tomelloso VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toledo382610275:1888
2Albacete B38229772:3175
3La Roda382112569:3075
4UD Almansa382012654:2572
5Villarrubia382011759:3271
6Illescas38209962:3769
7Azuqueca382081070:3968
8Marchamalo381791254:4560
9La Gineta381591447:5154
10Quintanar del Rey3812161039:4952
11Socuellamos381561751:5151
12Tomelloso381391649:5548
13Manzanares381281841:5144
14Villarrobledo3811101743:4943
15Torrijos381172036:5040
16CD Carranque381091934:5839
17Hellin Deportivo389111836:5538
18Chozas de Canales38972231:6634
19Piedrabuena38382734:9517
20CD Union Criptanense38243216:8510