Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Yoshimura Y.
73'
73'
Pumareta A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Tomelloso and Conquense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conquense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomelloso haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Conquense's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 20%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomelloso | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 4 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Tomelloso
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Conquense
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Conquense
2:1
Nov 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Tomelloso
0:0
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Tomelloso
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomelloso Compare
Top Goalscorer Pumareta A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Conquense Compare
Top Goalscorer Yoshimura Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomelloso 12 / 100
Conquense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomelloso Conquense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Conquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Tomelloso scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Tomelloso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Conquense
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomelloso
(Home) 12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0 Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1 Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3 Puertollano C.F.
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Albacete B
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
07 Apr
Tomelloso
0 : 2 Toledo
24 Mar
Tomelloso
0 : 3 Villarrubia
Page 1 of 3
Conquense
(Away) 04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2 Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2 Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2 Getafe B
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2 Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2 Conquense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Conquense
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1 Conquense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conquense | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 57:18 | 73 |
| 2 | Cazalegas | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 48:35 | 59 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 47:25 | 58 |
| 4 | Socuellamos | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 48:28 | 58 |
| 5 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 46:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:33 | 56 |
| 7 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 55 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 38:31 | 47 |
| 9 | Albacete B | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:49 | 46 |
| 10 | Azuqueca | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:46 | 41 |
| 11 | Villacanas | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:36 | 41 |
| 12 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 28:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 27:38 | 39 |
| 14 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 35:47 | 39 |
| 15 | La Solana | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:39 | 39 |
| 16 | Torrijos | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 23:45 | 28 |
| 17 | Tomelloso | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24:55 | 26 |
| 18 | San Clemente | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 28:66 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
