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Tomelloso vs Socuellamos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Navarro J.
82' Event
Serrano M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 game between Tomelloso and Socuellamos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tomelloso
35%
Draws
26%
Socuellamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tomelloso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Socuellamos come out ahead of Tomelloso on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 18%
Socuellamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomelloso Socuellamos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Socuellamos
1:1
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Socuellamos vs Tomelloso
3:0
Aug 15, 2019 Club Friendly
Socuellamos vs Tomelloso
4:1
Apr 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Socuellamos vs Tomelloso
0:1
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Socuellamos
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomelloso Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Socuellamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomelloso 32 / 100
Socuellamos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomelloso Socuellamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socuellamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socuellamos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tomelloso's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tomelloso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Socuellamos
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomelloso

(Home)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
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Socuellamos

(Away)
04 Oct
Socuellamos
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
27 Sept
CD Villa
2 : 0
Socuellamos
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)