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Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Yrysbek K.
Assist: Sabyr D.
55' Event
Yrysbek K.
Assist: Shalmukhanbetova N.

AI Match Summary

Tomiris-Turan W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tomiris-Turan W
15%
Draws
36%
Atyrau W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomiris-Turan W lately — more wins on the board than Atyrau W.
  • Model gives Tomiris-Turan W a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tomiris-Turan W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 20%
Atyrau W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomiris-Turan W Atyrau W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.84 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.69 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:1
Apr 27, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Atyrau W
7:0
May 22, 2025 League Women
Atyrau W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yrysbek K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atyrau W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomiris-Turan W 85 / 100
Atyrau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomiris-Turan W Atyrau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomiris-Turan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Atyrau W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tomiris-Turan W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tomiris-Turan W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomiris-Turan W VS Atyrau W
3.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomiris-Turan W

(Home)
17 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
3 : 0
Tomiris-Turan W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
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Atyrau W

(Away)
07 Sept
Atyrau W
2 : 0
Ordabasy W
31 Aug
Atyrau W
5 : 0
Ulytau W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Atyrau W
3 : 1
Zhetysu W
03 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
1 : 0
Atyrau W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)