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Tomiris-Turan W vs Kairat W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bortnikova S.
73' Event
Toktobolotova B.
84' Event
Rakhimzhanova A.
Assist: Shalmukhanbetova N.

AI Match Summary

Tomiris-Turan W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomiris-Turan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tomiris-Turan W
15%
Draws
36%
Kairat W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomiris-Turan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tomiris-Turan W lately — more wins on the board than Kairat W.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Tomiris-Turan W taking it.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tomiris-Turan W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 20%
Kairat W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomiris-Turan W Kairat W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.94 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 League Women
Kairat W vs Tomiris-Turan W
1:2
Jun 22, 2026 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Kairat W
3:0
Sep 8, 2025 League Women
Kairat W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:2
Jun 16, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Kairat W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortnikova S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toktobolotova B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kairat W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomiris-Turan W 67 / 100
Kairat W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomiris-Turan W Kairat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tomiris-Turan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Tomiris-Turan W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tomiris-Turan W's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tomiris-Turan W VS Kairat W
3.88 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomiris-Turan W

(Home)
17 Sept
BIIK Shymkent W
3 : 0
Tomiris-Turan W
14 Sept
Aktobe W
0 : 1
Tomiris-Turan W
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Tomiris-Turan W
4 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
24 Aug
Kaspij Aktau W
0 : 6
Tomiris-Turan W
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Kairat W

(Away)
07 Sept
Kairat W
1 : 2
Tomiris-Turan W
31 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 1
BIIK Shymkent W
24 Aug
Kairat W
3 : 0
Atyrau W
17 Aug
Ordabasy W
2 : 1
Kairat W
10 Aug
Kairat W
6 : 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BIIK Shymkent W 16 15 0 1 132:5 45
2 Tomiris-Turan W 16 14 0 2 51:12 42
3 Kairat W 16 9 1 6 43:25 28
4 Atyrau W 16 8 2 6 28:30 26
5 Kaisar Kyzylorda W 15 8 1 6 23:30 25
6 Ordabasy W 16 5 3 8 16:39 18
7 Zhetysu W 16 4 3 9 22:43 15
8 Ulytau W 16 1 1 14 5:70 4
9 Kaspij Aktau W 15 0 3 12 1:67 3
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aktobe W 18 18 0 0 166:2 54
2 Zhenis Astana W 18 14 1 3 71:34 43
3 Kyzylzhar W 18 13 2 3 66:14 41
4 Yelimay Semey W 18 9 1 8 35:28 28
5 Shakhter Karagandy W 18 7 2 9 16:69 23
6 FC Astana W 18 7 1 10 24:55 22
7 Tobol W 18 7 1 10 16:48 22
8 Ertis Pavlodar W 18 5 3 10 20:43 18
9 Altai W 18 1 3 14 10:65 6
10 Okzhetpes W 18 2 0 16 13:79 6
Promotion - League Women (Play Offs)