Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomislav DA vs Istra 1961

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Maresic D.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Cuic M.

AI Match Summary

Istra 1961 in this Croatian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tomislav DA
20%
Draws
46%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomislav DA haven't matched Istra 1961's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Istra 1961's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Istra 1961 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Istra 1961, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tomislav DA Clean Sheet 16%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomislav DA Istra 1961
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Croatian Cup
Tomislav DA vs Istra 1961
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomislav DA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Istra 1961 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomislav DA 11 / 100
Istra 1961 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomislav DA Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istra 1961 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Tomislav DA scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Recent resilience: Tomislav DA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomislav DA VS Istra 1961
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomislav DA

(Home)
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
26 Aug
Tomislav DA
4 : 0
Uljanik Pula
10 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Istra 1961
28 Aug
Tomislav DA
5 : 0
Sloga Borovo
28 Aug
NK Vrsar
5 : 0
Tomislav DA
Page 1 of 2

Istra 1961

(Away)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2