Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs Iliria Kruja

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ngene B.
90' Event
Selmani A.
90' Event
Selmani B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Iliria Kruja advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tomori Berat
6%
Draws
90%
Iliria Kruja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tomori Berat haven't matched Iliria Kruja's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Iliria Kruja's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Iliria Kruja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iliria Kruja, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iliria Kruja here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 20%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Iliria Kruja
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 11
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
Tomori Berat vs Iliria Kruja
1:2
Mar 3, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Iliria Kruja
2:1
Nov 25, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Tomori Berat
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngene B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Selmani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selmani B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 10 / 100
Iliria Kruja 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Iliria Kruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iliria Kruja conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Tomori Berat found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Tomori Berat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Iliria Kruja
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 7

Iliria Kruja

(Away)
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
03 May
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Teuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AF Elbasani4
Turbina Cerrik0
Tomori Berat1
Iliria Kruja2
Vllaznia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flamurtari15
KS Devolli1
Besa Kavaje4
Terbuni Puka3
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak1
Kucove0
KF Valbona1
Beselidhja Lezha0
Skenderbeu Korca-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vora6
Gramshi1
Lushnja0
KF Oriku1
KF Tirana-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis5
Adriatiku1
Luzi5
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi5
Koplik2
Kastrioti3
Butrinti Sarande1
Laci-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi6
Albanet0
Pogradeci2
AF Luftetari0
Partizani-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Kelcyra0
Burreli4
Librazhd0
1/16-finals
Teuta-
TBD-
AF Elbasani3
Iliria Kruja1
Vllaznia-
TBD-
Flamurtari0
Besa Kavaje1
Dinamo Tirana-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak2
KF Valbona1
Skenderbeu Korca-
TBD-
Vora3
KF Oriku1
KF Tirana-
TBD-
Bylis3
Luzi1
KF Egnatia-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi1
Kastrioti4
Laci-
TBD-
Kukesi2
Pogradeci1
Partizani-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier3
Burreli1
1/8-finals
Teuta0
AF Elbasani2
Vllaznia1
Besa Kavaje0
Dinamo Tirana6
Erzeni Shijak1
Skenderbeu Korca1
Vora0
KF Tirana1
Bylis2
KF Egnatia4
Kastrioti0
Laci3
Kukesi1
Partizani2
Apolonia Fier0
Quarter-finals
AF Elbasani3
Vllaznia4
Dinamo Tirana4
Skenderbeu Korca2
Bylis3
KF Egnatia5
Laci1
Partizani2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia3
Dinamo Tirana4
KF Egnatia2
Partizani1
Final
Dinamo Tirana3
KF Egnatia2