Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs KF Oriku

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rafael Barbosa
72' Event
Lawal A.
82' Event
Alinani K.

AI Match Summary

Tomori Berat in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomori Berat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
0%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomori Berat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KF Oriku lately — more wins on the board than Tomori Berat.
  • Win probability leans KF Oriku's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 15%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat KF Oriku
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.61 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs KF Oriku
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Tomori Berat
2:1
Dec 15, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Tomori Berat
1:0
Sep 29, 2018 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs KF Oriku
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alinani K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KF Oriku Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Barbosa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 11 / 100
KF Oriku 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Oriku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Oriku's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

KF Oriku has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Tomori Berat scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS KF Oriku
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 7

KF Oriku

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)