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Tomori Berat vs Luzi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Treni P.
71' Event
Itodo P.
75' Event
Caco E.

AI Match Summary

Luzi in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
49%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzi have won more games recently than Tomori Berat.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Luzi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Luzi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%
Luzi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Luzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 0.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Luzi
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Tomori Berat
2:0
Sep 13, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Luzi
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Luzi
0:2
Oct 31, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Tomori Berat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Caco E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Treni P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itodo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 10 / 100
Luzi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Luzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Luzi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tomori Berat found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS Luzi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
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Luzi

(Away)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)