Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomori Berat vs Terbuni Puka

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Krasniqi J.
36' Event
Deliu A.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Ismailaj L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Tomori Berat and Terbuni Puka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomori Berat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tomori Berat
15%
Draws
0%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomori Berat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Terbuni Puka's 0.8 goals per match outpaces what Tomori Berat have produced (0.71).
  • Win probability leans Terbuni Puka's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomori Berat Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 18
Goals Scored 0.71 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Terbuni Puka
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Terbuni Puka
0:0
Nov 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat
0:0
Oct 22, 2014 Albanian Cup
Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 22 / 100
Terbuni Puka 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomori Berat Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terbuni Puka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terbuni Puka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Terbuni Puka lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tomori Berat scored in 56% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS Terbuni Puka
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomori Berat

(Home)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 7

Terbuni Puka

(Away)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)