Sport Picks

Albania

First Division 2022/2023

Tomori Berat

2 - 1

Terbuni Puka

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Krasniqi J.

36'

Deliu A.

(Penalty)

84'

Ismailaj L.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Tomori Berat and Terbuni Puka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomori Berat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Tomori Berat

28%

Draws

50%

Terbuni Puka

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Terbuni Puka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Terbuni Puka carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Terbuni Puka's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tomori Berat	Terbuni Puka
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	4	7
Draws	2	5
Losses	26	18
Goals Scored	0.75	2
Goals Conceded	2.38	3.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Terbuni Puka

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 17, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Mar 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë

Tomori Berat vs Terbuni Puka

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Nov 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë

Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Oct 22, 2014 Albanian Cup

Terbuni Puka vs Tomori Berat

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomori Berat 22 / 100

Terbuni Puka 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tomori Berat Terbuni Puka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terbuni Puka has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Terbuni Puka lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tomori Berat scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomori Berat VS Terbuni Puka

0.75 Goals Scored 2

2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Skenderbeu Korca	26	13	10	3	37:13	49
2	Dinamo Tirana	26	14	5	7	48:23	47
3	Flamurtari	26	13	7	6	40:16	46
4	Tomori Berat	26	13	4	9	29:27	43
5	Korabi Peshkopi	26	10	9	7	32:24	39
6	Apolonia Fier	26	10	8	8	31:30	38
7	Luzi	26	10	8	8	31:26	38
8	Besa Kavaje	26	10	7	9	32:26	37
9	Lushnja	26	8	8	10	30:42	32
10	Burreli	26	7	10	9	22:29	31
11	KF Oriku	26	9	3	14	27:33	30
12	Turbina Cerrik	26	7	5	14	24:45	26
13	Beselidhja Lezha	26	3	8	15	17:41	14
14	Terbuni Puka	26	6	6	14	16:41	24