Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Gorovykh D.
41'
41'
Sukhoruchenko M.
42'
42'
Galadzhan A.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Krasnodar 2 in this FNL 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krasnodar 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomsk have won more games recently than Krasnodar 2.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Tomsk taking it.
- Regular FNL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tomsk Clean Sheet 68%
Krasnodar 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tomsk | Krasnodar 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2022 FNL
Tomsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 FNL
Krasnodar 2 vs Tomsk
2:1
Apr 7, 2021 FNL
Tomsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:1
Oct 13, 2020 FNL
Krasnodar 2 vs Tomsk
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 FNL
Tomsk vs Krasnodar 2
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tomsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorovykh D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Krasnodar 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Olusegun O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Okoronkwo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tomsk 59 / 100
Krasnodar 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tomsk Krasnodar 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tomsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tomsk scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Krasnodar 2 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tomsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Krasnodar 2
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tomsk
(Home) 21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2 M. Lipetsk
15 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 3 Tomsk
07 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Tomsk
30 Apr
Olimp-Dolgoprudny
1 : 0 Tomsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0 Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2 M. Lipetsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0 Tekstilshtik
10 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0 Spartak Moscow 2
02 Apr
Tomsk
0 : 1 Yenisey
26 Mar
Tomsk
2 : 5 Torpedo Moscow
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Krasnodar 2
(Away) 16 Nov
Krasnodar 2
2 : 3 M. Lipetsk
09 Nov
D. Bryansk
2 : 2 Krasnodar 2
02 Nov
Krasnodar 2
0 : 2 Khimik
26 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 1 Krasnodar 2
20 Oct
Krasnodar 2
1 : 3 Ulyanovsk
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09 Nov
D. Bryansk
2 : 2 Krasnodar 2
26 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 1 Krasnodar 2
12 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1 Krasnodar 2
21 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 2 Krasnodar 2
18 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1 Krasnodar 2
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torpedo Moscow | 38 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 65:36 | 75 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 38 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 60:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 38 | 23 | 5 | 10 | 64:37 | 74 |
| 4 | SKA Khabarovsk | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:38 | 65 |
| 5 | Yenisey | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 58:55 | 63 |
| 6 | Alania Vladikavkaz | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 75:53 | 60 |
| 7 | Neftekhimik | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 60:43 | 58 |
| 8 | Baltika | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 51:30 | 58 |
| 9 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 48:55 | 58 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 47:40 | 58 |
| 11 | Krasnodar 2 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45:45 | 53 |
| 12 | Kuban | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:48 | 49 |
| 13 | Veles Moscow | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:48 | 48 |
| 14 | Tomsk | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51:60 | 48 |
| 15 | Olimp-Dolgoprudny | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 35:47 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Volgar-Astrakhan | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 30:43 | 39 |
| 17 | Kamaz | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 29:45 | 37 |
| 18 | R. Volgograd | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 37:53 | 36 |
| 19 | M. Lipetsk | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 31:70 | 33 |
| 20 | Tekstilshtik | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 31:76 | 23 |
| 21 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation)
