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Tomsk vs Spartak Moscow 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2021/2022 Stadion Trud, Tomsk
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Obivalin S.
46' Event
Kudryashov P.
46'
Sub
Maksimchuk A. In: Muminov I.
Out: Maksimchuk A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2021/2022 game between Tomsk and Spartak Moscow 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tomsk
30%
Draws
29%
Spartak Moscow 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomsk come out ahead of Spartak Moscow 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tomsk Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomsk Spartak Moscow 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 FNL
Tomsk vs Spartak Moscow 2
1:0
Sep 29, 2021 FNL
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Tomsk
3:1
Nov 21, 2020 FNL
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Tomsk
1:2
Aug 12, 2020 FNL
Tomsk vs Spartak Moscow 2
1:2
Apr 8, 2020 FNL
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Tomsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudryashov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Spartak Moscow 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomsk 32 / 100
Spartak Moscow 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomsk Spartak Moscow 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tomsk scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tomsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Moscow 2
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomsk

(Home)
21 May
Tomsk
2 : 2
M. Lipetsk
15 May
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 3
Tomsk
07 May
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0
Tomsk
30 Apr
Olimp-Dolgoprudny
1 : 0
Tomsk
23 Apr
Tomsk
1 : 0
Tekstilshtik
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Spartak Moscow 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Dynamo Vologda
0 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow 2
2 : 3
Baltika 2
06 Sept
Yenisey 2
1 : 2
Spartak Moscow 2
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow 2
1 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow
23 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torpedo Moscow 38 20 15 3 65:36 75
2 Fakel Voronezh 38 23 5 10 60:33 74
3 Orenburg 38 23 5 10 64:37 74
4 SKA Khabarovsk 38 19 8 11 48:38 65
5 Yenisey 38 19 6 13 58:55 63
6 Alania Vladikavkaz 38 17 9 12 75:53 60
7 Neftekhimik 38 17 7 14 60:43 58
8 Baltika 38 14 16 8 51:30 58
9 Spartak Moscow 2 38 18 4 16 48:55 58
10 Akron Togliatti 38 16 10 12 47:40 58
11 Krasnodar 2 38 15 8 15 45:45 53
12 Kuban 38 13 10 15 45:48 49
13 Veles Moscow 38 14 6 18 45:48 48
14 Tomsk 38 13 9 16 51:60 48
15 Olimp-Dolgoprudny 38 9 14 15 35:47 41
16 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 38 10 9 19 30:43 39
17 Kamaz 38 8 13 17 29:45 37
18 R. Volgograd 38 8 12 18 37:53 36
19 M. Lipetsk 38 9 6 23 31:70 33
20 Tekstilshtik 38 5 8 25 31:76 23
21 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation)