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Stadium Background

Ton Pentre vs Caerleon

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Ton Pentre Logo

Ton Pentre

3 - 0
FT
Caerleon Logo

Caerleon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Ton Pentre and Caerleon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ton Pentre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ton Pentre
15%
Draws
28%
Caerleon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ton Pentre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ton Pentre are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 18%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ton Pentre Caerleon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.77 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Ton Pentre
0:2
Feb 16, 2013 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Caerleon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ton Pentre 41 / 100
Caerleon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ton Pentre Caerleon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ton Pentre found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Caerleon has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Caerleon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ton Pentre VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ton Pentre

(Home)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 6

Caerleon

(Away)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West End 28 18 4 6 64:29 58
2 Cambrian United 28 17 5 6 56:26 56
3 Taffs Well 28 14 7 7 57:39 49
4 Haverfordwest 28 13 8 7 63:35 47
5 Aberdare Town 28 13 8 7 45:35 47
6 AFC Porth 28 13 7 8 39:34 46
7 Monmouth 28 13 6 9 54:43 42
8 Bryntirion Athletic 28 10 9 9 38:40 39
9 Ton Pentre 28 9 9 10 39:39 36
10 Pontardawe 28 10 5 13 34:39 35
11 Goytre Utd 28 10 4 14 33:51 34
12 Cwmbran Celtic 28 9 5 14 41:52 32
13 Bridgend Town 28 8 7 13 28:51 31
14 Tata Steel 28 5 6 17 27:62 21
15 Caerleon 28 1 4 23 19:62 7
16 Barry Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier 2013/2014 (Main)