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Ton Pentre vs Ely Rangers

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Ton Pentre and Ely Rangers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ton Pentre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ton Pentre
15%
Draws
42%
Ely Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ely Rangers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ely Rangers a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 16%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ton Pentre Ely Rangers
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.65 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2010 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Ely Rangers
2:1
Oct 9, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Ton Pentre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ton Pentre 19 / 100
Ely Rangers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ton Pentre Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ton Pentre found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).

Ely Rangers has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ely Rangers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ton Pentre VS Ely Rangers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ton Pentre

(Home)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
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Ely Rangers

(Away)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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