Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ton Pentre vs Monmouth

Wales Wales

Division 1
Ton Pentre Logo

Ton Pentre

3 - 0
FT
Monmouth Logo

Monmouth

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Ton Pentre and Monmouth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ton Pentre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ton Pentre
15%
Draws
51%
Monmouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ton Pentre come out ahead of Monmouth on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Monmouth's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 20%
Monmouth Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ton Pentre Monmouth
Matches Played 19 18
Wins 7 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2020 Division 1
Monmouth vs Ton Pentre
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Monmouth
3:0
Dec 16, 2017 Division 1
Monmouth vs Ton Pentre
3:0
Aug 19, 2017 Division 1
Ton Pentre vs Monmouth
2:4
Jan 7, 2017 Division 1
Monmouth vs Ton Pentre
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ton Pentre 10 / 100
Monmouth 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ton Pentre Monmouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monmouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monmouth let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Ton Pentre's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Ton Pentre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ton Pentre VS Monmouth
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ton Pentre

(Home)
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
17 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
6 : 0
Ton Pentre
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
08 Feb
Trefelin
4 : 1
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 4

Monmouth

(Away)
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3
Pill
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2
Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0
Monmouth
04 Sept
Monmouth
3 : 0
Llanelli
14 Aug
Monmouth
3 : 1
Cwmamman United
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)