Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tonbridge vs Cray Valley

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tumkaya A.
Own Goal
26' Event
Higgs J.
31' Event
Simon E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tonbridge
30%
Draws
23%
Cray Valley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tonbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tonbridge are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tonbridge have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tonbridge, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 16%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Cray Valley
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 FA Cup
Tonbridge vs Cray Valley
5:0
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
Cray Valley vs Tonbridge
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Higgs J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cray Valley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 39 / 100
Cray Valley 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Cray Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cray Valley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Tonbridge found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Tonbridge went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Cray Valley
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)
28 Jul
Tonbridge
4 : 2
Eastbourne Borough
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1
Dulwich Hamlet
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
14 Jul
Tonbridge
0 : 2
Sutton
11 Jul
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 6

Cray Valley

(Away)
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Warrington Town 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Silsden 2
Bootle 4
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Racing Club Warwick 2
Evesham 5
Bromsgrove 2
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Atherton Rovers 5
Atherton Collieries 2
Avro 1
Nantwich 3
Trafford 2
Stockton 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 5
Abbey Hulton 4
Hanley Town 0
Stourbridge 2
Bourne 1
Shepshed 2
Stamford 1
Coventry Sphinx 0
Kendal 0
Dunston 1
Wombwell Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Corby 1
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 5
Atherstone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 5
Redcar Athletic 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Hallam 2
Ashton United 4
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Newcastle Blue Star 1
Heaton Stannington 0
TBD -
Marine -
Buxton -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Skegness Town 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Stalybridge 3
TBD -
Chester -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Hebburn Town 1
Longridge Town 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 4
Widnes FC -
FC Congleton Town -
TBD -
Chorley -
Ilkeston 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 3
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 1
Whitby 2
Matlock 4
Bottesford Town 1
Carlton Town 3
Cleethorpes 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redbridge 1
Royston Town 2
Brentwood 2
Leighton Town 1
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Eastwood Community FC 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 4
Stratford 1
Sudbury 4
Mildenhall 0
Aveley 3
Hashtag 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 3
Wythenshawe FC 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Rossington Main 0
United of Manchester 4
Bishop Auckland 1
Chadderton 3
Coleshill Town 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Hednesford 3
Basford Utd. 1
Billericay 4
Barton 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
St Ives Town 0
Morpeth 2
Pontefract Collieries 1
Witton Albion 6
Shildon 3
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Leek Town 0
TBD -
Worksop -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 5
TBD -
Bath City -
Burnham FC 0
Jersey Bulls 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Waltham Abbey 3
March Town 1
Gorleston 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Canvey Island 0
Stanway Rovers 2
Cockfosters 1
Soul Tower Hamlets 4
Ascot United 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Lewes 1
Bracknell Town 4
Dartford 2
Tadley Calleva 4
Weymouth 2
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Whitstable Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
AFC Stoneham 0
Tavistock 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Cray Wanderers 2
Hanwell Town 3
Bedfont Sports 4
Littlehampton 3
Uxbridge 1
Welling 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Enfield FC 3
Ilford 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Quorn 8
Sherwood Colliery 0
Long Eaton 1
Kettering 4
Winchester City 0
Fareham 1
Fairford 0
Sholing 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Epsom 2
Risborough Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Torpoint 3
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Sheppey United 0
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Folkestone 3
Sevenoaks 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Ashford Town 3
Whyteleafe 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Faversham 5
Hastings 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 5
Yate 4
TBD -
Oxford City -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chertsey Town 2
Thame United 1
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 2
Steyning Town 5
Lancing 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Raynes Park Vale 0
Ashford United 2
Chatham 4
Marlow 0
Deal Town 2
Cobham 0
Beckenham Town 2
Egham Town 3
Gosport Borough 2
Basingstoke 1
Didcot 2
Poole Town 3
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 4
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Needham Market 4
Tilbury 2
Eynesbury Rovers 3
Arlesey 1
Histon 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Lowestoft 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Real Bedford 1
Stortford 2
Boston Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 3
TBD -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cheshunt 1
Leiston 2
Knaphill 1
Hackney Wick 2
Worcester 3
Chasetown 4
Mangotsfield 0
Banbury 1
Brightlingsea 2
Bury Town 3
Newmarket 2
Woodford Town 3
Potters 2
Hitchin 4
Aylesbury Vale 1
St. Albans 3
Alvechurch 4
Barwell 2
TBD -
Leamington -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hertford Town 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 4
Three Bridges 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 3
Portchester 1
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Exmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Frome Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury -
TBD -
Hythe & Dibden 1
Laverstock & Ford 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
Carshalton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Wokingham Town FC 1
Burgess Hill 5
Erith Town 0
Farnham 3
Falmouth Town 0
Brixham 5
Slimbridge 0
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Quarter-finals
AFC Fylde 4
Bamber Bridge 1
Bootle 1
Darlington FC 3
Telford 3
Kidderminster 1
Racing Club Warwick 3
Evesham 4
Macclesfield 3
Atherton Rovers 0
Nantwich 3
Trafford 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Stourbridge 1
Shepshed 0
Stamford 2
Dunston 1
Stocksbridge 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ashton United 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Newcastle Blue Star 0
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Redditch 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 1
Chester 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Hebburn Town 1
South Shields 2
Guiseley 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Chorley 1
Spalding United 3
Alfreton 0
Bedford 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Whitby 0
Matlock 3
Carlton Town 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Brentwood 0
Chesham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 7
Sudbury 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 0
Spennymoor 1
United of Manchester 0
Chadderton 1
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 7
Billericay 3
Berkhamsted Town 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 3
Southport 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Worksop 2
Peterborough Sports 2
Hornchurch 1
Wimborne 2
Bath City 1
Jersey Bulls 2
Worthing FC 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Gorleston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Stanway Rovers 0
Soul Tower Hamlets 0
Flackwell Heath 2
Bracknell Town 2
Tadley Calleva 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Hanwell Town 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Welling 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield FC 0
Enfield Town 3
Quorn 2
Kettering 1
Fareham 0
Sholing 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 4
Torpoint 0
Hampton & Richmond 4
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Horsham FC 8
Folkestone 2
Maidstone 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Ashford Town 0
Maidenhead 0
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 3
Oxford City 2
Farnborough 4
Dover Ath. 1
Chertsey Town 2
Cray Valley 3
Steyning Town 3
Tonbridge 8
Ashford United 0
Chatham 3
Deal Town 2
Egham Town 1
Gosport Borough 0
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Needham Market 4
Eynesbury Rovers 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
FC Witham Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Stortford 1
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hereford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 4
Hackney Wick 1
Chasetown 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
Woodford Town 2
Hitchin 1
St. Albans 2
Alvechurch 3
Leamington 0
Chelmsford 6
Hertford Town 0
Whitehawk 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 2
Torquay 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 4
Laverstock & Ford 1
Dorking Wanderers 7
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Burgess Hill 1
Farnham 3
Brixham 1
Dorchester 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Semi-finals
AFC Fylde 3
Darlington FC 5
Telford 4
Evesham 1
Macclesfield 2
Nantwich 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stamford 1
Dunston 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Ashton United 2
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Morecambe -
TBD -
Chester 5
Curzon Ashton 1
South Shields 4
Chorley 1
Spalding United 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Hyde 1
Matlock 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
King’s Lynn 5
Halesowen 0
Aveley 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Spennymoor 3
Chadderton 0
Hednesford 0
Billericay 2
Morpeth 1
Southport 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Harborough 4
Peterborough Sports 1
Wimborne 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Flackwell Heath 4
Bracknell Town 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Hungerford 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield Town 5
Quorn 1
Sholing 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Folkestone 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
Westbury United 0
Farnborough 1
Cray Valley 0
Tonbridge 5
Chatham 3
Deal Town 1
Poole Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Needham Market 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 5
Hereford 2
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 0
Banbury 3
Woodford Town 0
St. Albans 1
Alvechurch 1
Chelmsford 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Frome Town 2
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 3
Dorking Wanderers 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Farnham 3
Dorchester 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Final
Darlington FC 0
Telford 6
Macclesfield 1
Stamford 0
Gainsborough 4
Hartlepool 2
Carlisle 5
Boston United 2
Rochdale 1
York City 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
Buxton 1
Morecambe 1
Chester 3
South Shields 4
Spalding United 0
Tamworth 1
Hyde 0
Scunthorpe 4
King’s Lynn 2
Aveley 0
Gateshead 3
Spennymoor 1
Billericay 0
Southport 1
Halifax 3
Altrincham 5
Harborough 2
Worthing FC 1
Forest Green 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Woking 3
Brackley 7
Wealdstone 5
Whitstable Town 1
Slough Town 3
Enfield Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Eastleigh 2
Southend 4
Folkestone 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Solihull Moors 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Chatham 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Needham Market 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Yeovil 1
Banbury 1
St. Albans 2
Chelmsford 4
Chippenham Town 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
Aldershot 3
Farnham 5
Sutton 6