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Tonbridge vs Sittingbourne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gardner H.
39' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Tonbridge and Sittingbourne finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tonbridge
20%
Draws
40%
Sittingbourne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sittingbourne come out ahead of Tonbridge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tonbridge's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Sittingbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonbridge Sittingbourne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.66 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Sittingbourne
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Gardner H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Sittingbourne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonbridge 40 / 100
Sittingbourne 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonbridge Sittingbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittingbourne let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tonbridge found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Sittingbourne lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonbridge VS Sittingbourne
2 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonbridge

(Home)
03 Oct
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Torquay
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Ramsgate
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
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Sittingbourne

(Away)
05 Sept
Sittingbourne
3 : 4
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
28 Aug
Aylesbury United
6 : 4
Sittingbourne
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
15 Nov
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
Sittingbourne
25 Oct
Sittingbourne
2 : 1
Cray Valley
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