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Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Tondela U19 and Mafra U19 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tondela U19
20%
Draws
51%
Mafra U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mafra U19 come out ahead of Tondela U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tondela U19's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela U19 Mafra U19
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Mafra U19
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Tondela U19
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela U19 67 / 100
Mafra U19 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela U19 Mafra U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mafra U19 let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Tondela U19 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Tondela U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tondela U19 VS Mafra U19
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 7

Mafra U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)