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Tondela U19 vs Sporting CP U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Almeida M.
70' Event
Almeida M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Tondela U19 and Sporting CP U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Tondela U19
20%
Draws
61%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sporting CP U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sporting CP U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tondela U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Sporting CP U19
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Tondela U19
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Sporting CP U19
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Tondela U19
0:1
Dec 29, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Tondela U19
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tondela U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tondela U19 22 / 100
Sporting CP U19 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tondela U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tondela U19 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting CP U19 conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Tondela U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tondela U19 VS Sporting CP U19
0.67 Goals Scored 2
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tondela U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0
Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1
Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0
Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1
Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2
Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 18 16 1 1 62:19 49
2 Gil Vicente U19 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
3 Rio Ave U19 18 10 1 7 32:31 31
4 Famalicao U19 18 9 3 6 35:29 30
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 8 3 7 22:27 27
6 Braga U19 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
7 Vizela U19 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
8 Pacos Ferreira U19 18 5 4 9 22:37 19
9 Moreirense U19 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
10 Chaves U19 18 0 5 13 10:38 5
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 18 10 6 2 31:14 36
2 Leiria U19 18 8 6 4 30:23 30
3 Sporting CP U19 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
4 Santa Clara U19 18 7 7 4 24:17 28
5 Academico Viseu U19 18 5 9 4 23:19 24
6 Torreense U19 18 6 4 8 17:20 22
7 Alverca U19 18 6 3 9 23:26 21
8 Belenenses U19 18 5 5 8 13:23 20
9 Tondela U19 18 4 5 9 11:26 17
10 Mafra U19 18 3 6 9 22:38 15
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)