Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tondela host Torreense in the Liga Portugal 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tondela have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Torreense's 1.33 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Tondela have won 3 to Torreense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Torreense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Torreense come out ahead of Tondela on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Tondela taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tondela | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tondela's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Tondela stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Torreense let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tondela
(Home)Torreense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
