Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
UD Ovarense in this Taça de Portugal 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ovarense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- UD Ovarense have won more games recently than Tondela.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Taça de Portugal 2005/2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tondela Clean Sheet 20%
UD Ovarense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tondela | UD Ovarense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2005 Taça de Portugal
Tondela vs UD Ovarense
1:2
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tondela 31 / 100
UD Ovarense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tondela UD Ovarense
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Ovarense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tondela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
UD Ovarense lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tondela VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Porto-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Odivelas FC-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Marco-
AD Pontassolense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Naval-
Vila Mea2
Mondinense0
Oliv. Bairro0
SC Mirandela1
AD Lousada1
GD Joane0
Pedras Rubras1
Covilha2
AD Portomosense2
Silves FC0
Riachense1
FC Barreirense2
Tirsense4
Electrico FC2
TBD-
Maritimo-
Academica-
TBD-
TBD-
Gil Vicente-
Atletico CP2
Gondomar0
Operario1
Louletano5
Braga-
TBD-
TBD-
Leiria-
BSAD-
TBD-
SC Praiense0
Aves2
Paredes2
CD Portosantense1
Moreirense0
Nelas1
UD Ovarense2
Tondela1
FC Maia Lidador2
Lagoa4
Vizela3
Messinense1
SC Vianense1
Santa Clara2
Varzim3
FC Canedo1
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Camacha4
Real SC3
GD Milheiroense1
Estoril4
Aljustrelense2
Sanjoanense1
GD Ponterrolense1
Olhanense2
Uniao Lamas1
Beira Mar0
Esmoriz1
Oliveirense2
Nacional-
TBD-
Freamunde0
Imortal1
CF Canical2
Beneditense0
SC Lusitania1
Fatima2
GD Tourizense1
Dragoes Sandinenses0
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Leixoes2
SC Angrense1
TBD-
Benfica-
Boavista3
Oeiras1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maria de Fonte0
Abrantes3
FC Souropires2
Aliados Lordelo1
SB Castelo Branco1
Portimonense2
CU Micaelense1
FC Madalena0
TBD-
Estrela da Amadora-
FC Lixa3
Trofense1
TBD-
Penafiel-
Rio Ave-
TBD-
GD Uniao Torcatense1
Ribeirao2
Pinhalnovense2
Chaves1
Monsanto1
Feirense3
AD Fafe3
Social Lamas0
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
1/32-finals
FC Porto-
TBD-
Odivelas FC4
FC Marco6
AD Pontassolense-
TBD-
TBD-
Naval-
Vila Mea2
SC Mirandela1
AD Lousada0
Covilha2
AD Portomosense2
FC Barreirense1
Tirsense0
Maritimo2
Academica3
Gil Vicente2
Atletico CP0
Louletano1
Braga1
Leiria0
BSAD0
Aves1
Paredes4
Nelas0
UD Ovarense0
Lagoa1
Vizela3
Santa Clara1
Varzim0
Sporting CP2
Vitoria Guimaraes-
TBD-
Camacha0
Estoril1
Aljustrelense3
Olhanense0
Uniao Lamas0
Oliveirense2
Nacional2
Imortal1
CF Canical0
Fatima1
GD Tourizense1
Pacos Ferreira0
Leixoes1
Benfica2
Boavista-
TBD-
TBD-
Abrantes-
FC Souropires1
Portimonense0
CU Micaelense0
Estrela da Amadora2
FC Lixa4
Penafiel0
Rio Ave0
Ribeirao1
Pinhalnovense2
Feirense1
AD Fafe0
Vitoria Setubal1
1/16-finals
FC Porto1
FC Marco0
AD Pontassolense0
Naval1
Vila Mea2
Covilha1
AD Portomosense0
Maritimo2
Academica1
Louletano0
Braga1
Aves2
Paredes3
Lagoa1
Vizela1
Sporting CP2
Vitoria Guimaraes4
Estoril0
Aljustrelense0
Oliveirense1
Nacional2
Fatima0
GD Tourizense0
Benfica2
Boavista3
Abrantes2
FC Souropires1
Estrela da Amadora3
FC Lixa1
Ribeirao0
Pinhalnovense0
Vitoria Setubal1
1/8-finals
FC Porto2
Naval1
Vila Mea0
Maritimo3
Academica2
Aves1
Paredes1
Sporting CP2
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Oliveirense0
Nacional0
Benfica1
Boavista1
Estrela da Amadora0
FC Lixa0
Vitoria Setubal2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto2
Maritimo1
Academica0
Sporting CP2
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Benfica0
Boavista1
Vitoria Setubal2
Semi-finals
FC Porto1
Sporting CP0
Vitoria Guimaraes0
Vitoria Setubal1
Final
FC Porto1
Vitoria Setubal0