Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tonga U17 vs New Caledonia U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2011 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2011 game between Tonga U17 and New Caledonia U17 finished 0-17, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tonga U17
15%
Draws
21%
New Caledonia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tonga U17 haven't matched New Caledonia U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tonga U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 2011 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tonga U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonga U17 New Caledonia U17
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.79 2.45
Goals Conceded 7.43 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2011 OFC Championship U16
Tonga U17 vs New Caledonia U17
0:17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonga U17 83 / 100
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonga U17 New Caledonia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonga U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 17.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: New Caledonia U17 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: New Caledonia U17 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tonga U17's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tonga U17 VS New Caledonia U17
0 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonga U17

(Home)
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 3
Fiji U17
15 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 6
Samoa U17
20 Jan
Tonga U17
2 : 0
American Samoa U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 13
Tahiti U17
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New Caledonia U17

(Away)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Papua New Guinea U17 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Fiji U17 4 1 0 3 10:6 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 14:2 12
2 Solomon Islands U17 4 3 0 1 22:4 9
3 New Caledonia U17 4 2 0 2 27:6 6
4 Cook Islands U17 4 1 0 3 8:15 3
5 Tonga U17 4 0 0 4 2:46 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)