Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kau T.
24' Event
Rajani M.
38' Event
Rajani M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tonga U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonga U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Tonga U19
20%
Draws
51%
Cook Islands U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cook Islands U19 have won more games recently than Tonga U19.
  • Win probability leans Cook Islands U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tonga U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonga U19 Cook Islands U19
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
1:4
Apr 9, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
1:1
May 27, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Cook Islands U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tonga U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kau T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rajani M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cook Islands U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonga U19 10 / 100
Cook Islands U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonga U19 Cook Islands U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 11 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Tonga U19 scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

Tonga U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonga U19 VS Cook Islands U19
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonga U19

(Home)
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea U19
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
Tonga U19
0 : 3
Vanuatu U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

Cook Islands U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonga U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Samoa U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)