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Tonota vs BDF XI

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Tonota Logo

Tonota

1 - 1
FT
BDF XI Logo

BDF XI

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tonota
25%
Draws
35%
BDF XI
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tonota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • BDF XI have won more games recently than Tonota.
  • Win probability leans Tonota's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tonota Clean Sheet 68%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonota BDF XI
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 1 8
Losses 0 14
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Tonota vs BDF XI
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonota 68 / 100
BDF XI 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonota BDF XI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tonota scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

BDF XI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

BDF XI lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonota VS BDF XI
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonota

(Home)
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
Tonota
1 : 0
Tafic FC

BDF XI

(Away)
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Police XI 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Extension Gunners 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Tonota 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Enesia 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
11 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
12 Township Rollers 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Orapa United 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)