Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tonsberg vs Follo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2021 game between Tonsberg and Follo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tonsberg
20%
Draws
29%
Follo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tonsberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tonsberg a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tonsberg Clean Sheet 19%
Follo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonsberg Follo
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 21
Goals Scored 2.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.08 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Follo
3:0
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Follo
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Follo
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Tonsberg vs Follo
0:1
Apr 22, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Follo vs Tonsberg
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonsberg 49 / 100
Follo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonsberg Follo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonsberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tonsberg scored in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Follo let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tonsberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonsberg

(Home)
30 Oct
Honefoss
4 : 0
Tonsberg
23 Oct
Tonsberg
3 : 1
Flint
17 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
2 : 2
Tonsberg
09 Oct
Tonsberg
1 : 2
Orn
04 Oct
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Tonsberg
Page 1 of 3

Follo

(Away)
30 Aug
Honefoss
2 : 1
Follo
26 Aug
Rana FK
3 : 3
Follo
22 Aug
Rade
1 : 2
Follo
16 Aug
Follo
1 : 3
Rana FK
08 Aug
Junkeren
4 : 1
Follo
Page 1 of 7