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Tonsberg vs Lommedalen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tonsberg in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tonsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tonsberg
15%
Draws
39%
Lommedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lommedalen have won more games recently than Tonsberg.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Lommedalen taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tonsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Lommedalen Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tonsberg Lommedalen
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.23 2
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Tonsberg vs Lommedalen
5:0
Apr 13, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Tonsberg
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tonsberg 24 / 100
Lommedalen 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tonsberg Lommedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tonsberg scored in 92% of their last 13 outings.

Defensive concern: Lommedalen conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Tonsberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tonsberg VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tonsberg

(Home)
30 Oct
Honefoss
4 : 0
Tonsberg
23 Oct
Tonsberg
3 : 1
Flint
17 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
2 : 2
Tonsberg
09 Oct
Tonsberg
1 : 2
Orn
04 Oct
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Tonsberg
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Lommedalen

(Away)
18 Apr
Lommedalen
0 : 2
Skeid
22 Oct
Lyn
3 : 1
Lommedalen
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
08 Oct
Lommedalen
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
03 Oct
Strommen 2
0 : 4
Lommedalen
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