Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tooting & Mitcham vs Merstham

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Imperial Sports Ground, London
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merstham in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merstham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tooting & Mitcham
30%
Draws
16%
Merstham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tooting & Mitcham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tooting & Mitcham have won more games recently than Merstham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tooting & Mitcham Clean Sheet 10%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tooting & Mitcham Merstham
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Tooting & Mitcham vs Merstham
0:5
Jul 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Tooting & Mitcham vs Merstham
1:3
Dec 30, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tooting & Mitcham vs Merstham
3:1
Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
Tooting & Mitcham vs Merstham
2:0
Aug 19, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Tooting & Mitcham
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tooting & Mitcham 29 / 100
Merstham 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tooting & Mitcham Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tooting & Mitcham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merstham has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tooting & Mitcham found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Tooting & Mitcham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tooting & Mitcham VS Merstham
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tooting & Mitcham

(Home)
18 Jul
Kingstonian
7 : 2
Tooting & Mitcham
16 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
0 : 5
Merstham
29 Jul
Croydon FC
0 : 1
Tooting & Mitcham
18 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
1 : 1
Raynes Park Vale
15 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
3 : 1
Corinthian-Casuals
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Merstham

(Away)
29 Aug
Peacehaven & Telscombe
2 : 1
Merstham
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
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