Sport Picks

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TOP Oss vs Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Monzialo K.
(Penalty)
25'
Boumassaoudi I.
36'
Mol L.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between TOP Oss and Den Bosch finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOP Oss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
TOP Oss
44%
Draws
20%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Den Bosch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 15%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
4:2
Aug 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
5:2
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Remans M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Hove B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Maas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 35 / 100
Den Bosch 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: TOP Oss remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Den Bosch
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4
TOP Oss
18 Jul
TOP Oss
3 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
12 Jul
TOP Oss
0 : 1
Duisburg
04 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
TOP Oss
24 Apr
Maastricht
0 : 2
TOP Oss
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Den Bosch

(Away)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Eindhoven FC
0 : 0
Den Bosch
11 Jul
Den Bosch
3 : 1
Quick Boys
02 May
Almere City
3 : 0
Den Bosch
29 Apr
Den Bosch
2 : 3
Almere City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Den Haag38292790:3789
2Cambuur38239675:4878
3Willem II382081059:4268
4De Graafschap381891174:5863
5Almere City381841678:6358
6Waalwijk3816101271:5958
7Jong PSV381751666:6456
8Roda3814131159:5455
9Den Bosch381491565:6951
10Dordrecht3812111548:5647
11Eindhoven FC381451951:6947
12Jong Utrecht3812101658:6246
13Venlo381361950:5845
14FC Emmen381291758:7245
15Vitesse3815111264:5544
16TOP Oss3811111654:6444
17Jong AZ Alkmaar381242261:7640
18Helmond Sport381091942:6239
19Maastricht389111841:7338
20Jong Ajax38982150:7335
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)