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TOP Oss vs Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Monzialo K.
(Penalty)
25'
Boumassaoudi I.
36'
Mol L.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between TOP Oss and Den Bosch finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOP Oss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
42%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • TOP Oss carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on TOP Oss taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
4:2
Aug 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
5:2
Jan 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs TOP Oss
1:0
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Den Bosch
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Remans M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Hove B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Den Bosch Compare

Top Goalscorer Maas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 56 / 100
Den Bosch 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Den Bosch has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Den Bosch
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Den Bosch

(Away)
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
13 Sept
FC Volendam
2 : 0
Den Bosch
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Den Bosch
5 : 2
Eindhoven FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Den Haag 38 29 2 7 90:37 89
2 Cambuur 38 23 9 6 75:48 78
3 Willem II 38 20 8 10 59:42 68
4 De Graafschap 38 18 9 11 74:58 63
5 Almere City 38 18 4 16 78:63 58
6 Waalwijk 38 16 10 12 71:59 58
7 Jong PSV 38 17 5 16 66:64 56
8 Roda 38 14 13 11 59:54 55
9 Den Bosch 38 14 9 15 65:69 51
10 Dordrecht 38 12 11 15 48:56 47
11 Eindhoven FC 38 14 5 19 51:69 47
12 Jong Utrecht 38 12 10 16 58:62 46
13 Venlo 38 13 6 19 50:58 45
14 FC Emmen 38 12 9 17 58:72 45
15 Vitesse 38 15 11 12 64:55 44
16 TOP Oss 38 11 11 16 54:64 44
17 Jong AZ Alkmaar 38 12 4 22 61:76 40
18 Helmond Sport 38 10 9 19 42:62 39
19 Maastricht 38 9 11 18 41:73 38
20 Jong Ajax 38 9 8 21 50:73 35
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)