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Stadium Background

TOP Oss vs Dordrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nsingi F.
Assist: Kuijpers J.
29' Event
Nsingi F.
Assist: Pata I.
38'
Kuijpers J.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between TOP Oss and Dordrecht finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOP Oss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
34%
Dordrecht
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TOP Oss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TOP Oss come out ahead of Dordrecht on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on TOP Oss taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 15%
Dordrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss Dordrecht
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.96 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Dordrecht
3:0
Mar 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs TOP Oss
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Dordrecht
0:3
Apr 19, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Dordrecht
2:0
Nov 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Dordrecht vs TOP Oss
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dordrecht Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 84 / 100
Dordrecht 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss Dordrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dordrecht has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

TOP Oss's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Dordrecht registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS Dordrecht
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

Dordrecht

(Away)
03 Oct
Den Bosch
1 : 1
Dordrecht
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2
Almere City
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Eindhoven FC
2 : 1
Dordrecht
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)