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TOP Oss vs NAC Breda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Nsingi F.
25'
Van den Bergh J.
52'
Mathieu J.

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
46%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • NAC Breda have won more games recently than TOP Oss.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 68%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss NAC Breda
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
2:2
May 10, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs TOP Oss
2:0
Jan 20, 2023 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reulen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 41 / 100
NAC Breda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOP Oss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NAC Breda conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

TOP Oss found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

TOP Oss went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS NAC Breda
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
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NAC Breda

(Away)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)