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Stadium Background

TOP Oss vs NAC Breda

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Nsingi F.
25'
Van den Bergh J.
52'
Mathieu J.

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
TOP Oss
15%
Draws
64%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • TOP Oss average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of NAC Breda's 1.14.
  • Win probability leans NAC Breda's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TOP Oss NAC Breda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:2
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
2:2
May 10, 2024 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs TOP Oss
2:0
Jan 20, 2023 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs NAC Breda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reulen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TOP Oss 22 / 100
NAC Breda 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TOP Oss NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NAC Breda conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

TOP Oss found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

TOP Oss went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TOP Oss VS NAC Breda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TOP Oss

(Home)
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
25 Jul
Almere City
8 : 4
TOP Oss
18 Jul
TOP Oss
3 : 1
SG Wattenscheid
Page 1 of 6

NAC Breda

(Away)
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2
Jong Ajax
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2
Venlo
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0
NAC Breda
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Emmen 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
2 Maastricht 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
3 Almere City 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
4 Heracles 2 2 0 0 7:5 6
5 Roda 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 NAC Breda 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Den Bosch 3 1 1 1 8:6 4
8 Dordrecht 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Vitesse 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
10 Venlo 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
11 Jong PSV 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
12 FC Volendam 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
13 Jong AZ Alkmaar 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
14 Waalwijk 3 0 3 0 4:4 3
15 Eindhoven FC 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
16 Helmond Sport 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
17 De Graafschap 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
18 Jong Utrecht 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
19 TOP Oss 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
20 Jong Ajax 3 0 0 3 7:11 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)