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Topolite vs Dorostol

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2020/2021 game between Topolite and Dorostol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorostol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Topolite
15%
Draws
21%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Topolite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Topolite haven't matched Dorostol's recent run of results.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Dorostol taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dorostol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Topolite Clean Sheet 20%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolite Dorostol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Dorostol
0:1
Aug 22, 2020 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Topolite
2:1
Mar 21, 2010 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Dorostol
0:1
Sep 13, 2009 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Topolite
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolite 24 / 100
Dorostol 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolite Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorostol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dorostol conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Dorostol's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Topolite found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Dorostol
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Topolite

(Home)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
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Dorostol

(Away)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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