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Topolite vs Dunav Ruse

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2020/2021 game between Topolite and Dunav Ruse finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunav Ruse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Topolite
15%
Draws
49%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunav Ruse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunav Ruse come out ahead of Topolite on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dunav Ruse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Topolite Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolite Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Dunav Ruse
1:3
Nov 1, 2020 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse vs Topolite
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolite 10 / 100
Dunav Ruse 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolite Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Topolite scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Dunav Ruse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Dunav Ruse lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dunav Ruse
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Topolite

(Home)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
Page 1 of 7

Dunav Ruse

(Away)
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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