Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Topolite vs Sportist Toshevo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sportist Toshevo in this Third League - North-East 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportist Toshevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Topolite
15%
Draws
59%
Sportist Toshevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportist Toshevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sportist Toshevo at 1.24 per game, Topolite at 0.97.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sportist Toshevo taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sportist Toshevo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Topolite Clean Sheet 20%
Sportist Toshevo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Topolite Sportist Toshevo
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 5 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.69 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Sportist Toshevo
1:2
Sep 26, 2020 Third League - North-East
Sportist Toshevo vs Topolite
5:1
May 9, 2010 Third League - North-East
Sportist Toshevo vs Topolite
0:0
Nov 8, 2009 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Sportist Toshevo
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Topolite 10 / 100
Sportist Toshevo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Topolite Sportist Toshevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportist Toshevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sportist Toshevo conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Topolite scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Topolite has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sportist Toshevo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Topolite

(Home)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
Page 1 of 6

Sportist Toshevo

(Away)
03 Jun
Sportist Toshevo
5 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Sportist Toshevo
20 May
Sportist Toshevo
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
14 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 0
Sportist Toshevo
06 May
Sportist Toshevo
0 : 0
Svetkavitsa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)