Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tord vs Ahlafors

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Zetterlund J.
57' Event
Sahlin G.
80' Event
Akerman O.

AI Match Summary

Ahlafors in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tord
15%
Draws
51%
Ahlafors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tord haven't matched Ahlafors's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ahlafors a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tord Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tord Ahlafors
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.2 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tord
2:2
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Ahlafors
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tord vs Ahlafors
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Tord
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tord Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahlin G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akerman O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tord 10 / 100
Ahlafors 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tord Ahlafors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tord found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ahlafors conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tord has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tord VS Ahlafors
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tord

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
Tord
1 : 5
Stenungsunds IF
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
05 Sept
Tord
1 : 3
Husqvarna
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Ahlafors

(Away)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)